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| Map courtesy 270toWin.com. Disappointed in you Ohio and Iowa. Not cool. Trump? Really? |
I'm not sure how this became a tradition, but in 2004, long before 538 and those projection websites, I took my own stab at it. I failed pretty bad. In 2008 I did pretty well and in 2012 I nailed the EVs. To be fair, it has become much easier, as you can look at different websites and really get a good feel for the race.
This election is hard to call with the high undecideds. I'm posting this early, the Saturday before the election, because I have a few differences from 538 and it is just so easy to copy that, so I want to get credit for these states if they end up flipping light blue. Right now 538 has NV, NC, and FL all red. Close, but red. I think they go the other way. They also have the final margin HRC +3, I think it is more like +5.
Anyways, we'll see Tuesday night!
Electoral:
Clinton/Kaine 323
Trump/Pence 215
Popular Vote:
Clinton/Kaine 49.8%
Trump/Pence 44.5%
Johnson/Weld 3.5%
Stein/Baraka 0.9%
McMullin/Finn 0.7%
Others 0.6%
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